Dan Campbell doesn’t have much of a track record as the Detroit Lions head coach. Aside from a modestly successful stint as the interim coach of the Miami Dolphins in 2015, Campbell has one season of data to build off. And that season saw his Lions finish 3-13-1 and earn the second-worst record in the league.
So when the analysts at Pro Football Focus extrapolated the data into ranking coaches and projecting the coaching impact on the final record, Campbell’s status isn’t very good. PFF ranked him 23rd in that capacity, but the ranking isn’t very important because of the limited data and criteria PFF processed to come up with it.
The more interesting part, to me anyway, is PFF’s analysis of projecting wins for coaches if they had an average NFL roster. It’s a range of wins for all 26 returning head coaches. Campbell gets a slider from 8.1 to 8.9 wins if he had what PFF would consider a perfectly average NFL roster.