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Pennsylvania Poll Shows Tight Race Between Harris And Trump

This combination photo shows Vice President Kamala Harris, left, at the White House in Washington, July 22, 2024, and Republican presidential candidate former President Donald Trump at an event July 2

Vice President Kamala Harris is making her second trip to Pennsylvania in three days as a new poll reveals a neck-and-neck race between her and former President Donald Trump in the crucial swing state. According to a recent Monmouth University survey conducted from Oct. 24-28, registered voters in Pennsylvania are evenly split between supporting Harris and Trump.

The poll shows that 42% of voters are either definite or have already voted for Harris, while an equal 42% are in favor of Trump. When factoring in third-party candidates, Trump leads with 47% among registered voters, while Harris closely follows at 46%.

Notably, Trump maintains a significant advantage among white voters without a college degree, while Harris leads among white college graduates and voters who are Black, Hispanic, and of other races.

Pennsylvania, with its 19 electoral votes, is a critical battleground state that played a pivotal role in President Biden's 2020 election victory. The state, along with Michigan and Wisconsin, forms the Democrats' 'Blue Wall,' which Trump narrowly breached in 2016 but Biden reclaimed in 2020.

Trump leads among white voters without a college degree.
Harris and Trump tied in recent Pennsylvania poll.
Harris leads among white college graduates and minority voters.

Both Harris and Trump, along with their running mates, have been actively campaigning in Pennsylvania, underscoring the state's importance in the upcoming election. The race is so close that recent polls have shown both candidates deadlocked at 49%.

Aside from the presidential race, Pennsylvania is also home to a closely watched Senate race between Democratic Sen. Bob Casey Jr. and Republican challenger Dave McCormick. Casey currently holds a slight edge over McCormick, with 40% of voters indicating they will definitely vote for the Democratic incumbent.

As Election Day approaches, the battle for Pennsylvania's electoral votes and Senate seat intensifies, with both parties pouring significant resources into ad campaigns and voter outreach efforts in the state.

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