Paraguay and Australia meet at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on June 25 with both sides sitting on three points in Group D, separated only by goal difference. A win for either team secures a round-of-16 place; a draw could also be enough depending on results elsewhere, but goal difference currently favors Australia. The Paraguay vs Australia World Cup 2026 predictions market has Paraguay as narrow favorites despite entering this game with the inferior goal difference.
Australia sit second in Group D on +0 goal difference, while Paraguay are third on -2. With the United States already through after two wins, three teams are competing for one guaranteed automatic berth and the possibility of advancing as a best third-place finisher. That math makes this a match where Paraguay, in particular, will likely need a win rather than a draw to feel secure.