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Evening Standard
Evening Standard
World
George Chesterton

OPINION - Election polls predict big Labour win but parallels with Tony Blair's 1997 landslide end there

The rush to draw parallels between the 1997 Labour landslide after 18 years of government by a Conservative Party at civil war and, er, a potential Labour landslide in 2024 after 14 years of government by a Conservative Party at civil war is officially on. The trouble with this convenient analogy is that there are so few parallels other than the one just mentioned.

The number of Commons seats might end up being comparable, if the polling turns out to be correct (a mighty 20-point lead to wet Keir Starmer’s whistle with a Labour rebirth in the key battlegrounds of Scotland and “deep England”) but, as ever, history turns out to be not so neat.

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