Irish Derby favourite Auguste Rodin has just a 2% chance to complete a Derby double this weekend, according to historical data.
Aidan O’Brien is the master Flat trainer of his generation but according to the research he will have his work cut out to get Auguste Rodin ready to complete an Epsom/Irish Derby double at the Curragh on Sunday.
Auguste Rodin was victorious in the Epsom Derby almost four weeks ago, sent off at 9/2 and winning by half a length from 66/1 outsider King Of Steel, who has since won at Royal Ascot. The son of Deep Impact's Irish Derby odds are currently 4/11.
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The three-year-old could become just the fourth double Derby winner since 2003 this, following in the footsteps of Camelot, Australia and Harzand - but Auguste Rodin has just a 2% chance to do that, according to the data.
After analysing all 190 runners to take part in both the English and Irish Derby over the past 20 years, research by BoyleSports has shown that if Auguste Rodin were to become the fourth horse since 2003 to complete the Derby double, he’d be battling a 1.57% chance (3 out of 190 - implied probability of 62/1) to seal the historical triumph.
That said, of the six winners of the Epsom Derby since 2003 that have then gone on to the Curragh to race in the Irish Derby - three have won, two have finished second and one crossed the line fifth - averaging 2nd place, giving the three-year-old a strong chance of placing.
O’Brien has trained two of those double winners (Camelot and Australia), while Irish trainer Dermot Weld trained Harzand to double Derby delight in 2016.
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