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France 24
France 24
World
Louise NORDSTROM

‘October Surprise’: The US election phenomenon that can sway a presidential race

US National Security Advisor Henry Kissinger tells a White House news conference that “peace is at hand” in Vietnam but that one more negotiating session is necessary, October 26, 1972. The unexpected statement is considered to be the original "October Surprise" in US politics. © AP/ File picture

Few American presidential elections have sailed all the way through to Election Day without one – or more – unexpected news events, sometimes turning a race totally on its head. This last-minute phenomenon is known as an “October Surprise” and has changed the course of more than one US election over the past 50 years.

On October 26, 1972 – just days before the American people were due at the ballots – President Richard Nixon’s security adviser, Henry Kissinger, suddenly declared that peace was “at hand” in the costly and controversial US war effort in Vietnam. Although Nixon had already been widely slated to win, and the initial peace talks would fall apart less than two months later, the sudden prospect of peace essentially handed Nixon the victory on a silver platter. He ended up winning the national popular vote by a landslide, beating his opponent by 18 million votes.

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