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Michael Ryan, Lecturer in Economics, University of Waikato

NZ Budget 2025: economic forecasting is notoriously difficult, but global uncertainty is making it harder

Javier Ghersi/Getty Images

This year’s budget will be one of the tightest in a decade, with the New Zealand government halving its operating allowance – the new money it has available to spend – from NZ$2.4 billion to $1.3 billion.

The cut reflects weaker than expected growth owing to global economic turmoil. It also highlights just how difficult it is to predict what is going to happen when it comes to the economy.

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