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The Economic Times
The Economic Times
Business
Nikhil Agarwal

Nominal GDP growth set to surge to 12%. Why the stock market may still struggle to rally

Jefferies GDP Stock Market India MSCI India Corporate Earnings Adani Energy Solutions Adani Ports JSW Energy JSW Infrastructure

India’s nominal GDP growth is expected to accelerate sharply to 11.5%-12% in FY27 from about 9% a year earlier, setting the stage for stronger corporate earnings. But that macro improvement may not translate into a broad-based stock market rally.

Jefferies expects corporate earnings growth to rise towards 14% in FY27, following 10% growth for MSCI India in FY26. Earnings momentum has already improved, with companies excluding oil and gas and metals recording 18% year-on-year earnings growth in the June 2026 quarter, the strongest pace in 10 quarters.

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