Nigel Farage’s Reform UK has surged ahead in the latest City AM Freshwater Strategy poll, taking a three-point lead over Labour with 27 per cent to 24 per cent, while the Conservatives trail at 23 per cent. The poll marks another milestone in Reform’s rapid rise, but despite leading in voter preference, the party still falls well short of an overall majority due to Britain’s first-past-the-post electoral system.
If an election were held today, Reform UK would secure 216 seats, while the Conservatives would win 144. This would give the two parties a combined total of 360 seats, which is enough to form a majority government in the House of Commons.
