The National Football League has a strength of schedule formula that's very simple to understand ... take the opponents' records from the previous season, add up the wins and losses and calculate a percentage for all 17 opponents. In the world of fantasy football, we use a similar method. Instead of using team records, we use the number of fantasy points allowed (FPA) by defenses the previous season against a single position (both at home and on the road) and rank the teams/players according to the average.
For example, the Seattle Seahawks allowed an average of 14.5 fantasy points per game to opposing tight ends overall last season. However, their defense was tougher on the road (12.6 PPG allowed) than at home (16.6 PPG allowed). Therefore, a road tight end who faces the Seahawks in Seattle receives 16.6 points. On the flip side, a home tight end who faces them receives 12.6 points. This goes a step deeper than typical FPA analysis, which is based on a combined average of the home and road numbers. The bigger the overall point total per team, the easier the projected schedule for 2022.
