A new Welsh poll shows Labour running away in the popularity stakes in Wales with the Conservatives the big losers. Support for the Labour party is at its highest since 2012, with the Conservatives set to lose 18% of their supports.
The opinion poll for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University was carried out by YouGov and quizzed 1,042 adults in Wales about their voting intentions in a General Election. It has been described as the "second joint worst poll ever for the Conservatives in Wales"
The Barn Cymru poll revealed that 51% of people in Wales would vote for Labour in a General Election, up 5% from the last poll in September. It showed that while the Conservatives had made losses, many of their voters had shifted to Reform UK, the party which began as the Brexit Party.
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Westminster voting intention:
Conservative: 18% (-5)
Labour: 51% (+5)
Lib Dem: 4% (-1)
Plaid Cymru: 13% (-2)
Reform UK: 8% (+3)
Green: 4% (+1)
Other: 2% (-1)
Dr Jac Larner, from Cardiff University's Welsh Governance Centre, said Wales was recording “historic” gaps in voting intention. He said: “This is the second joint worst poll ever for the Conservatives in Wales going back to as long as we’ve had polling - that’s 15 years. For the Labour Party, it's their joint third highest ever poll results for Westminster vote intention. And the gap between the two is now the second largest again that we've ever recorded." You can read more stories about politics here.
Adrian Masters, ITV Cymru Wales’ Political Editor said: “The poll demonstrates that the Conservatives in Wales are in difficult territory. Despite his appetite to strengthen the UK Government's relationship with the Welsh Government, voters are clearly yet to be convinced that Rishi Sunak is prioritising Wales' interests.
"Labour in Wales on the other hand seems to be enjoying its strongest performance in the opinion polls in over a decade, which will give Keir Starmer and his team a boost as he looks to win the next general election."
The poll was also damning for Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, who has failed to win the support of people in Wales. 65% of people said they did not trust the new Tory leader to make the right decisions for Wales.
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