Corrected 8:27 p.m. | The Democratic Senate majority remains extremely vulnerable and the battleground of Senate seats has shifted slightly, with race rating changes in three states.
In Maryland, former Gov. Larry Hogan’s candidacy shook up the race from a one-party contest between Rep. David Trone and Prince George’s County Executive Angela Alsobrooks in the May 14 Democratic primary to a two-step process in which Democrats can no longer ignore the general election.
Hogan’s candidacy qualifies as a splash, but his path to victory in November is still difficult. Even though he left office in early 2023 as a popular two-term governor, voters often make different calculations in federal races when control of the Senate is on the line. Republicans haven’t won a federal statewide race in Maryland in more than 30 years, and President Joe Biden is likely to carry Maryland by at least 30 points. That’s very difficult top-of-the-ticket pressure for any candidate to withstand.
