New polls from Quinnipiac University in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin reveal a challenging landscape for Vice President Kamala Harris among likely voters in the crucial 'Blue Wall' states. The latest data indicates that Harris' lead has narrowed in Pennsylvania and disappeared in Michigan, while Wisconsin remains a closely contested race.
In Pennsylvania, the recent poll shows Harris with a slight advantage over Trump, leading 49% to 46%. This represents a decrease from September when Harris held a wider margin at 51% to 45% over Trump. Meanwhile, the Michigan poll results are inconclusive, with Trump at 50% and Harris at 47%, within a 3.1 percentage point margin of error. In September, Harris was ahead at 50% to 45%.
Similarly, the Wisconsin poll does not show a clear frontrunner, with Trump at 48% and Harris at 46%, within a 3.0 percentage point margin of error. This mirrors the close race seen in September, where Harris led at 48% to 47%.
Quinnipiac's findings suggest that the pool of likely voters in Michigan and Wisconsin may have shifted towards a more Republican-leaning stance since September. These polls are the first approved polling data in each state for October, indicating that Harris does not currently hold a significant advantage in any of these critical 'Blue Wall' states.
In terms of averages, Harris garners 48% support among likely voters in Michigan, with Trump at 47%. In Pennsylvania, Harris also averages 48% support compared to Trump's 47%. In Wisconsin, Harris maintains an average of 49% support, while Trump stands at 46% among likely voters.
