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Sam Volpe

New poll shows Conservatives face North East electoral 'wipeout' as public fears they 'don't understand' impact of cost-of-living crisis

An astonishing new polling suggests the Conservative Party could be wiped out in the North East at the next election - with voters in our region also found to be more likely than those anywhere else to feel Rishi Sunak and his team don't understand the true impact of the cost-of-living crisis.

The poll - commissioned by campaign group 38 Degrees and carried out by Survation - has also found that 43% of people in the North East feel the cost-of-living crisis has damaged their mental health. Heartbreakingly, the model predicts that 34% have felt unable to heat their home over the last month in the region.

The poll predicts that even longstanding Conservative seats in Berwick-upon-Tweed and Hexham would be taken by the Labour Party should a general election take place tomorrow. It uses the multilevel regression and post-stratification (MRP) model to predict constituency-by-constituency results in an election - in 2019 this model got 94% of parliamentary races right.

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