Only a fool makes predictions in politics these days and it is perhaps a testament to hubris (and foolishness) that I am going to have a stab at it.
First off, let’s talk about Plaid Cymru and the fact Adam Price will not be leader by the end of 2023. In fact, I think he will be gone by May. The “prophetic son” of Welsh politics (according to Plaid’s own election literature) has had a rocky time heading up the Party of Wales.
Electorally it has been dire. The 2021 Senedd Election absolutely did not go to plan. Just six months before he had told me that “anything less than First Minister would be a failure” the party was languishing in third behind the Tories. They lost their seat in the Rhondda (exactly the sort of area they need to be winning) and only really saw an increase in their vote in their heartlands.
