The National Hurricane Center is set to update its 'cone of uncertainty' forecast tool this year to include predictions for inland areas, where wind and flooding can be more treacherous than damage along the coast. The experimental graphic will be ready by August 15, just in time for the peak of the hurricane season.
The traditional cone, which has been used for years, focuses primarily on the forecast track of a hurricane or tropical storm, with an emphasis on wind and storm surge along the coasts. However, forecasters have always cautioned against solely relying on the center line. Inland areas can experience heavy rains and strong winds that can be deadly and cause significant damage. The devastating Hurricane Ian in 2022 claimed 149 lives in Florida, highlighting the importance of considering these inland threats.
