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LiveScience
LiveScience
Patrick Pester

NASA just changed the odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth in 2032 yet again

An illustration of an asteroid heading toward Earth. .

An asteroid big enough to destroy a city is now much less likely to collide with Earth in 2032, according to the latest NASA data.

In recent weeks, NASA had been steadily increasing the likelihood of a strike from asteroid 2024 YR4, with the odds peaking on Tuesday (Feb. 18) at 1 in 32, or a 3.1% chance. However, on Wednesday (Feb. 19), the space agency more than halved the chances to 1.5%.

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