The more fights you watch, the fewer surprises you see. That’s not to say there aren’t still upsets; they just don’t seem as seismic. The clues are there all along, it just depends how much attention you pay to them.
To be clear, this is not a claim that The Independent predicted that Filip Hrgovic would beat Moses Itauma on Saturday. The idea that Itauma would break down the Croatian, stop him late, and fulfil his world-title prophecy seemed sensible.