Ukraine’s momentum on the battlefield was a primary focus at July’s NATO summit in Turkey. Kyiv’s long-range drones and US President Donald Trump’s surprise announcement that the Washington would allow Ukraine to produce Patriot missiles on in the country. However, Trump's deal has yet to materialize. Moreover, Russia has ramped up cruise missile launches and Ukraine has run out of air defenses to stop them. Moscow is also failing to stop incoming missiles. In today’s edition we ask: What happens in war when offense proves better than defense for both sides?
Could this lose-lose situation make mediation efforts like the one undertaken in the past days by Donald Trump’s emissaries more relevant? When Russia is still calling the war a ‘special military operation’, what will it take for Moscow and Kyiv to get serious about a lasting settlement? The Kremlin is looking beyond the battlefield to the momentum enjoyed by Putin-friendly populists in France and Germany, as well as the US midterm elections and NATO. In that context, we look at Berlin’s calibrated response to a drone attack at Leipzig Airport. Is war in Ukraine about to wind down or escalate a whole further?
Produced by François Picard, Andrew Hilliar, Juliette Laffont, Ilayda Habip, Charles Wente.
