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Wales Online
Wales Online
National
Cathy Owen

Met Office forecasts temperatures for October usually seen in August as Wales' climate sees rapid changes

It might be October, but it is feeling more like June with highs of 19°C, and the forecast is for it to stay mild throughout the weekend and into the start of the half term in Wales next week.

The Met Office forecast for Wales over the weekend says temperatures will "remain above average for the time of year by day and night". Temperatures of 19.5°C were recorded on Wednesday, and the Met Office forecast for Thursday is also forecasting maximum temperatures of 19°C for Wales.

The high temperatures are a result of the increasingly apparent effects of global heating. More than half of the UK's oldest active weather stations recorded their hottest day ever in 2022, according to Met Office data. New records were set during the heat waves in July at 56 of the 109 longest-standing stations in the UK.

Read more: 10 ways global heating will change life in Wales for the worse

"Temperatures on Wednesday have been closer to what we would typically see in late August than late October!" said the forecasting agency. The Met Office forecast for Wales on Thursday is for it to turn drier in the afternoon after a cloudy and wet start for many.

The forecast said: "Still blustery and warm for the time of year. Maximum temperature 19 °C. Dry with clear spells to start the night. Turning cloudier and windier from the west as rain arrives through the early hours. Another mild night. Minimum temperature 10 °C."

The outlook for the weekend says: " Early heavy rain on Friday will quickly clear to leave to leave a largely dry day with some lengthy spells of sunshine. Still blustery but warm for the time of year. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

"Staying changeable through the weekend and into next week with blustery winds and spells of showery rain. Temperatures remaining above average for the time of year by day and night."

The long-range UK forecast from the Met Office for the half term week is showing "changeable and unsettled" conditions on Monday, with temperatures remaining mild.

It says: "Further into the week, unsettled conditions likely to remain particularly in the north and west, bringing showers or longer periods of rain. The southeast is likely to remain dry and brighter throughout the period. Strong winds are expected at times across much of the UK, especially in the west and north with a risk of gales.

"Conditions remaining similar as we move further into November, with showers or longer spells of rain, heavy in places, likely across much of the UK. Temperatures above average, feeling milder during both the day and night."

It is not until mid-November that colder conditions are predicted, with forecast for November 10 to November 24 saying: "An increasing chance of overnight frost and fog in places, as night temperatures start to fall."

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