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The Conversation
The Conversation
Mark Smith, Professor of Water Science & Heath, University of Leeds

Mapping malaria in Africa: climate change study predicts where mosquitoes will breed in future

Water bodies such as the Nile River, pictured here running through Juba in South Sudan, are included in the new model. Frontpage

The relationship between climate and malaria transmission is complex and has been the subject of intense study for some three decades.

Mosquito vector populations sufficient to maintain malaria transmission occur within a particular range of temperatures and humidity that are suitable for their survival and breeding. The parasite also needs suitable temperatures to complete its mosquito life stages. And mosquitoes need surface water to breed in. These conditions have to last long enough for mosquito and parasite populations to grow.

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