The broader photonics market is expanding. Fortune Business Insights estimates its value at approximately $1.1 trillion in 2026 and projects a value of $1.9 trillion by 2034, a 6.7% compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Those figures cover applications ranging from displays to healthcare, rather than artificial intelligence (AI) optical connectivity alone.
Within that broader market, Lumentum (LITE) offers a signal of demand. CEO Michael Hurlston recently said that the company's components were sold out through 2029. Hurlston added that Lumentum cannot meet roughly 70% of demand for some products through 2027 and 30% for others through 2028.