Lithuanians went to the polls on Sunday for the first round of parliamentary elections, with the possibility of a shift in power from the center-right governing coalition to the opposition Social Democrats and smaller center-left parties. The current conservative Prime Minister Ingrida Šimonyte's government, in power since 2020, has faced criticism for its handling of various issues despite the country's economic successes.
While Lithuania has experienced significant personal income growth and low inflation rates within the European Union, many voters remain dissatisfied. The government's response to the COVID-19 pandemic, including strict measures and perceived lack of support for businesses during lockdowns, has drawn criticism. Additionally, challenges related to healthcare services and the influx of migrants via Belarus have further fueled discontent among the electorate.
A recent survey indicates that the Social Democratic Party led by Vilija Blinkeviciute is poised to lead the polls, potentially surpassing Šimonyte's Homeland Union. However, no single party is expected to secure a majority, necessitating coalition-building efforts post-election.
The possibility of a leftward shift in government is not expected to significantly alter Lithuania's foreign policy, particularly in light of concerns regarding Russia's actions in neighboring Ukraine. The role of the president in shaping foreign policy decisions is highlighted, with the recent re-election of President Gitanas Nauseda over Šimonyte in the presidential race earlier this year.
The parliamentary elections, involving 2.4 million eligible voters, will determine the composition of the 141-member parliament for the next four years. The runoff scheduled for October 27 will decide the winners in single-mandate constituencies, with the formation of a coalition government likely to involve multiple parties representing the political center.
