Latino Voters in 17 Swing Districts Are Swinging Hard Away From Trump — POLL

TOPSHOT - (L/R) Images of Senator Elizabeth Warren, Democrat from Massachusetts, Senator Bernie Sanders, Independent from Vermont, former Vice President Kamala Harris, former President Joe Biden, former Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi, and Minnesota Governor Tim Walz are projected on a screen as US radio personality and comedian Adam Carolla speaks during the first day of the Republican National Midterm Convention at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas on September 9, 2026. US Republicans open an extraordinary midterm convention in Dallas on September 9 betting that putting Donald Trump at the center of their campaign can rescue a party facing grim election forecasts -- despite the president's negative approval ratings. (Credit: Photo by Kent NISHIMURA / AFP via Getty Images)

• Democrats now lead Latino voters by 23 points on the 2026 generic House ballot in 17 battleground districts — more than double their 11-point edge with the same voters in 2024.
• Texas Latino voters in a 300-person subsample went from an even 44-44 split in 2024 to a 56-36 Democratic lead now; a pair of Florida swing districts swung from a single-point Trump edge to a 13-point margin favoring Democrats.
• Cost of living, not immigration, remains the top-ranked concern, even as 64% of these voters view ICE unfavorably and 62% take a dim view of how deportations are being carried out.

Two years after Donald Trump turned in the best performance by a modern Republican presidential candidate among Latino voters, a new survey of the most hotly contested House districts in the nation suggests that ground is shifting back toward Democrats — and shifting quickly.