Sen. Josh Hawley (R–Mo.) has introduced a bill to increase the federal minimum wage, which has been $7.25 an hour since 2008. Hawley wants it to be $15 an hour. Many of us thought that the minimum wage issue was settled, but here we are again.
This is freshman-level economics: If you introduce a price floor on labor, the supply of people willing to work at that wage will exceed the demand, resulting in unemployment. If an employer can either have three employees making $10 an hour or two at $15 an hour (and one on public assistance), which do you think he would choose? Politicians like Hawley seem to think companies will simply accept lower profit margins. But they won't—they'll raise prices, cut staff, or go out of business.
Since hardly anyone earns $7.25 an hour these days, the federal minimum wage doesn't cause serious economic distortion. A $15 mandate, by contrast, would wreak havoc, especially in low-cost-of-living areas. A simple thought experiment would be to imagine what would happen if we had a $10,000-an-hour minimum wage. This would obviously eliminate most jobs. The same principle applies to smaller hikes, even if the effects would not be as drastic. If prosperity could be legislated, we would have done it long ago.
