With about half the NFL teams having played half their schedule, the midway point of the season is a good time to pick games. We know a lot more than we did a month ago, and as predictable as this league is, there are certain matchups where you should have a good feel. Maybe that's because I had back-to-back "Dolly Parton" weeks (that's 9-5 for you non-poker players), but this week's slate again has favorable matchups.
Favorites went 4-10 against the spread (ATS) last week and are 51-63-2 as underdogs have started to heat up. Home teams went 7-7 straight up and 8-6 ATS, bringing their totals to 60-58-1 and 52-65-2.
My three most confident picks this week are Denver, New England and Miami. One you should avoid: Detroit-Minnesota.