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Joe Manniello

Joe Manniello's Week 8 NFL picks

Trick or treat? When looking at each week's point spreads, I'm always trying to find favorable lines and ones that are too scary to touch. Which leads me to this Halloween weekend's biggest line. You might think the Jets are getting way too many points, but there's a reason why they are. Vegas knows. Anyone who watches hours of football on Sunday knows. If a line is that big, take it as a sign and don't think twice about it being too big.

Favorites went 5-8 against the spread (ATS) last week and are 47-53-2 this season. Home teams went 6-8 straight up and 5-9 ATS, bringing their totals to 53-51-1 and 44-59-2 ATS.

My three most confident picks are Philadelphia, Tampa Bay and Miami. A tricky game to avoid: Indianapolis-Detroit.

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