Balance. It’s what we all strive for, even in picking NFL games. You usually don’t want to pick too many favorites or too many underdogs in one week, but what if you really don’t see many underdogs covering? That's the predicament for me this week. The best advice is to trust your first instinct.
Underdogs went 7-8-1 against the spread (ATS) in Week 4 and are now 32-31-1. One thing to keep an eye on this week and going forward are how teams perform the week after their London games (Minnesota and New Orleans). Gone are the days of automatic byes the next week.
My most confident picks ATS are Dallas, San Francisco, Philadelphia and Green Bay. Stay away from Detroit-New England and L.A. Chargers-Cleveland.
