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Joe Manniello

Joe Manniello's Week 4 NFL picks

Nearly one month in, what do we know? Well, the Giants and Jets are going to be underdogs in every game from here on out. That's the easy part. As for the rest of the league, we've learned some but still not enough. As we told you before Week 2, never make too much out of those Week 1 losses (see: Buffalo, Green Bay, Tennessee and more). The NFL is always unpredictable, and the point spread is the ultimate equalizer.

Underdogs went 9-7 against the spread (ATS) last week after going 11-5 in Week 1 and 8-7-1 in Week 2.

My most confident picks ATS are Green Bay, Tampa Bay and New Orleans. Stay away from Detroit-Chicago.

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