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Latin Times
Latin Times
Politics
Mateo Moreno

JD Vance Keeps Getting Chanted at for 2028. Here's What the Polls Actually Say

DALLAS, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 10: U.S. Vice President JD Vance speaks on stage on the second day of the 2026 Republican National Convention at the American Airlines Center on September 10, 2026 in Dallas, Texas. U.S. President Donald Trump is headlining the Republican National Committee's first-ever midterm convention as he aims to highlight his administration’s achievements and rally support for GOP candidates just two months before the upcoming elections being held on November 3. (Credit: Photo by Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Update: This piece expands on Latin Times' earlier coverage of the GOP's Dallas midterm convention, focusing specifically on the "48" chants that followed Vice President JD Vance through the event's final day.

Latin Times previously covered Trump's closing-night pledge to "cheat like hell" for Republican turnout and the wider sweep of the GOP's first-ever midterm convention in Dallas. This piece zooms in on one thread from that closing night: the chants that trailed Vice President JD Vance from a private breakfast table to the biggest stage of his political career yet, and what those chants do — and don't — prove about his standing heading into a possible 2028 run.

It Started Before Any Cameras Were Rolling

Hours before his prime-time speech, Vance sat down with a much smaller crowd: delegates and party officials gathered for a closed-press breakfast inside the convention Thursday morning. According to reporting from Politico, relayed by The Western Journal, attendees broke into the same "48" chant there, away from any television cameras. People in the room told the outlet Vance didn't raise 2028 himself, instead spending the time telling those present that Democrats retaking Congress would mean rolling back GOP-passed tax breaks and several economic wins from the administration.

Then the Arena Took Over

By the time Vance reached the microphone that evening for a keynote running nearly 40 minutes, the same energy filled the room on a much bigger scale. Shouts of "JD" rose as he walked out, and before long, "48" rippled through the arena, according to The Hill's coverage of the convention's closing night. Vance's reply echoed what he'd told the breakfast crowd hours earlier. "We gotta take care of business this November," he said, according to Dallas Express, before adding that whatever came next could wait until after the midterms. One attendee, Kim Simmons, put it more bluntly afterward: "Team Vance right here," she told The Hill. Trump, who took the stage right after Vance and spoke with reporters later that night, praised the speech as one of his running mate's best outings yet. Elsewhere in the crowd, 58-year-old Plano resident Barbara Johnson said she'd joined in the chanting because she was struck by how comfortably Vance fed off the room, according to the same wire account, republished by The Print.

DALLAS, TEXAS - SEPTEMBER 10: U.S. President Donald Trump speaks on stage on the second day of the 2026 Republican National Convention at the American Airlines Center on September 10, 2026 in Dallas, Texas. U.S. President Donald Trump is headlining the Republican National Committee's first-ever midterm convention as he aims to highlight his administration’s achievements and rally support for GOP candidates just two months before the upcoming elections being held on November 3. (Credit: Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

This Wasn't the First Time

Dallas wasn't even the first arena where Republicans tried to draft Vance early. The same chant broke out roughly ten months earlier, on Oct. 29, 2025, when Vance spoke at a Turning Point USA event on the University of Mississippi campus alongside Charlie Kirk's widow, Erika Kirk. An official pool report archived by the American Presidency Project at UC Santa Barbara shows Vance laughed the moment off then, too, telling the crowd, "Let's not get ahead of ourselves."

"48" has since moved beyond an arena chant into the party's own vocabulary. Speaking at AmericaFest, Turning Point USA's annual conference in Phoenix, Erika Kirk has already started referring to a future Vance ticket by the same number, according to Yahoo News coverage of the event — a framing that lines up with Vance's formal role inside the party structure. He became the Republican National Committee's finance chairman earlier in his term, per The Dispatch, a post that gives him direct relationships with major donors and has some party officials openly wondering whether a contested 2028 primary will happen at all.

What the Polling Actually Shows

The numbers tell a far less settled story than the chants suggest. A RealClearPolling analysis published late last year found Vance's polling average holding roughly a 38-point edge over his closest rival. By this past May, an Emerson College survey cited by The Daily Signal showed the race tightening into a near-even split between Vance and Rubio, 36% to 35%. A separate AtlasIntel poll from the same month, reported by The Daily Wire, went further and put Rubio ahead outright, 45.4% to Vance's 29.6%. With neither man having formally entered a race that's still two years out, and pollsters disagreeing this much on methodology, the numbers argue against crowning a "front-runner" based on arena noise alone.

What Comes Next

For now, both Vance's own answers and the party's messaging point the same direction: November first, 2028 later. Republicans are defending a competitive Senate seat in Texas alone, where Trump-backed Ken Paxton is fending off Democrat James Talarico, with control of Congress on the line well before any 2028 primary takes shape. Whether Thursday's chants turn into an actual campaign will depend far more on how that midterm math plays out than on anything shouted from the stands in Dallas.

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