Japan's ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) is projected to lose its majority in the lower house of the Diet, the national parliament, following Sunday's general election. This outcome, if confirmed, would be a significant setback for new Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba amidst public discontent over economic challenges and a series of political scandals.
Exit polls conducted by public broadcaster NHK indicate that the LDP, a conservative political powerhouse that has governed Japan almost continuously since 1955, may struggle to secure a majority. The LDP and its junior coalition partner Komeito are forecasted to win between 174 and 254 seats in the 465-seat House of Representatives, falling short of the 233 seats needed for control.
The main opposition Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ) is predicted to secure between 128 and 191 seats, adding to the political uncertainty in Japan.
Prime Minister Ishiba, who called for the snap election shortly after winning the party's leadership contest, faces challenges in forming a stable government. The LDP could explore coalition options or govern as a minority, both of which could jeopardize Ishiba's position.
Prior to the election, the LDP grappled with declining approval ratings and public outrage over a major funding scandal involving undocumented political funds. Former Prime Minister Fumio Kishida's attempts to contain the scandal were insufficient, leading to his decision not to seek a second term.
Ishiba, a seasoned politician, has outlined plans to address economic issues by providing financial assistance to low-income households, raising the minimum wage, and focusing on regional revitalization. He aims to steer Japan away from high inflation rates and foster real wage growth.
Moreover, Ishiba prioritizes strengthening Japan's ties with the United States amid escalating security challenges in Asia, including the assertiveness of China and North Korea's belligerence. He advocates for a more balanced relationship with the US, emphasizing greater oversight of American military bases in Japan.
Despite facing opposition within his own party for his outspoken nature, Ishiba's willingness to challenge the status quo has resonated with grassroots members and the public.