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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
World
Dan Sabbagh Defence and security editor

Israeli talk of war with Hezbollah almost certainly fresh attempt at deterrence

Grassland burns and thick smoke rises
Fire caused by a rocket attack from Hezbollah into Israel. The two sides have been trading blows since October. Photograph: Ammar Awad/Reuters

A warning from Israel’s foreign minister, Israel Katz, that a decision on “all-out war” with Hezbollah in southern Lebanon is coming soon is almost certainly a fresh attempt at deterrence on his part – not least because both sides well understand how devastating full hostilities would be.

The reality is that Hezbollah, an ally of Iran, is a more powerful adversary than Hamas in Gaza. It is estimated to have between 30,000 and 50,000 fighters available and a similar number in reserve – plus between 120,000 and 200,000 unguided missiles and rockets, plus attack and reconnaissance drones.

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