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Neha Panjwani

Is KeyCorp Stock Underperforming the S&P 500?

KeyCorp (KEY), headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio, operates as the holding company for KeyBank National Association. Valued at $21.9 billion by market cap, the company provides retail and commercial banking, commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance, and investment banking products and services.

Companies worth $10 billion or more are generally described as “large-cap stocks,” and KEY perfectly fits that description, with its market cap exceeding this mark, underscoring its size, influence, and dominance within the regional banks industry. KeyCorp’s strength comes from broad market reach across 15 states and a diverse mix of retail and commercial banking services. Offerings spanning investment management, consumer finance, and commercial mortgage servicing serve customers from individuals to institutions, creating multiple revenue streams that reduce risk and support financial stability and growth.

Despite its notable strength, KEY shares slipped 14.9% from their 52-week high of $24.07, achieved on Jul. 17. Over the past three months, KEY stock has declined 10.3%, underperforming the S&P 500 Index’s ($SPX) 5.4% gains during the same time frame.

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Shares of KEY fell marginally on a YTD basis but climbed 9.4% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming SPX’s YTD gains of 13.4% and 16.6% returns over the last year.

To confirm the bearish trend, KEY has been trading below its 50-day moving average since mid-August. The stock is trading below its 200-day moving average since mid-September.

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KeyCorp experienced a mix of positive operational momentum and persistent headwinds over the past year. The bank saw solid financial gains driven by expanding interest margins, loan growth, and strategic capital moves. However, these gains were constrained by credit quality pressures, including rising nonperforming loans, alongside high-interest-rate challenges affecting the broader banking sector.

On Jul. 21, KEY shares closed down by 1.6% after reporting its Q2 results. Its revenue stood at $2 billion, up 6.7% year over year. The company’s adjusted EPS increased 25.7% from the year-ago quarter to $0.44.

In the competitive arena of regional banks, Citizens Financial Group, Inc. (CFG) has taken the lead over KEY, showing resilience with a 10.1% uptick on a YTD basis and 21.1% gains over the past 52 weeks.

Wall Street analysts are reasonably bullish on KEY’s prospects. The stock has a consensus “Moderate Buy” rating from the 20 analysts covering it, and the mean price target of $24.99 suggests a potential upside of 22% from current price levels.

On the date of publication, Neha Panjwani did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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