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Rashmi Kumari

Is Adobe Stock Outperforming the Dow?

Adobe Inc. (ADBE), headquartered in San Jose, California, is a global leader in digital media and digital marketing solutions. With a market cap of $255.07 billion, Adobe has established itself as a powerhouse in the software industry, offering a wide range of products and services, including creative tools like Photoshop, Illustrator, and Premiere Pro, as well as digital experience solutions such as Adobe Experience Cloud. 

Competing with other key players in the digital transformation space, Adobe's primary rival is Salesforce (CRM), which focuses on customer relationship management solutions, as both companies continue to drive innovation and shape the future of digital experiences and marketing technologies.

Companies valued at $200 billion or more are typically classified as "mega-cap stocks," Adobe fits well into this category. As a leader in digital media and digital marketing software, Adobe has carved out a dominant market position powered by its creative and experience-focused solutions, widely adopted across various industries. 

ADBE shares are trading 11% below their 52-week high of $638.25, which they hit on Feb. 2. Also, the stock has gained 24.6% over the past three months, outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index’s ($DOWI) 5% returns over the same time frame.

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In the longer term, ADBE is down 4.8% on a YTD basis. However, the shares have gained marginally over the past 52 weeks. The Dow has gained 8.1% in 2024 and 17.7% over the past year.

To confirm the bullish price action, ADBE has been trading above its 50-day moving average since early August and 200-day moving average since mid-August.

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On Jun. 14, ADBE shares closed up more than 14% after the company reported its Q2 results the previous day. Its revenue of $5.31 billion was better than the consensus estimates of $5.29 billion. Its adjusted EPS increased 14.6% year over year to $4.48. For Q3, the company expects its revenue to be between $5.3 billion and $5.4 billion and adjusted EPS to be between $4.50 and $4.55. ADBE raised its full-year revenue forecast to $21.40 billion to $21.50 billion, up from $21.30 billion to $21.50 billion. 

Highlighting the contrast in performance, rival CRM has underperformed ADBE and the border index, with a 6.5% decline on a YTD basis.

Given ADBE's recent outperformance compared to Dow, analysts are moderately optimistic about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" from 31 analysts in coverage. The mean price target is $610.43, reflecting a 7.5% premium over current levels.

On the date of publication, Rashmi Kumari did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.
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