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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
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Larry Elliott

Iran could be the US’s Boer war: a hollow victory that marks the beginning of the end of empire

US Navy sailors on the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln during the Operation Epic Fury attack on Iran, 4 March 2026
US Navy sailors on the aircraft carrier USS Abraham Lincoln during the Operation Epic Fury attack on Iran, 4 March 2026. Photograph: US Navy/Reuters

Nobody gave the Boers a prayer when the war in South Africa began in 1899. It was farmers ranged against the might of the British empire, and the expectation was that resistance would quickly crumble.

Eventually, might did prevail. Britain won the Boer war, but it was a hollow victory that took the best part of three years to achieve and came at a high cost. The blow to British prestige – coming at a time when its global hegemony was under threat from fast-growing countries such as the US – was severe. Far from highlighting the extent of Britain’s power, it exposed its limitations.

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