Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a tight race among likely voters in Iowa, according to the final Iowa Poll conducted by the Des Moines Register and Mediacom. Harris holds a slight lead with 47% support compared to Trump's 44%, falling within the poll's margin of sampling error of 3.4 points. This suggests that there is no clear frontrunner in the state, which has traditionally leaned towards the GOP.
Compared to the previous Iowa Poll in September, there has been a shift towards Harris, who previously trailed Trump by a narrow margin. The latest findings indicate a more even split between the two candidates, with both having strong support among Iowa voters.
It is important to note that there has been limited high-quality polling in Iowa during this election cycle, making it challenging to draw direct comparisons. Iowa has a varied history in recent presidential elections, having voted for both Democratic and Republican candidates in the past four elections.
The new poll also highlights that women in Iowa are largely favoring Harris over Trump, and older voters are showing strong support for the Vice President. Additionally, more than 90% of likely voters in Iowa have already made up their minds about their preferred candidate, indicating a high level of certainty among the electorate.
The Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll was conducted from October 28 to 31 by Selzer & Co. among 808 likely voters in Iowa. The interviews were carried out via telephone, and the results among likely voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.4 points.
