Mizuho has identified four clear tailwinds for Intel (INTC): ongoing CPU supply shortages, a stronger PC refresh cycle, accelerating demand for agentic AI, and growth in advanced packaging. Normally, such a setup would provide a reason to raise a price target. Instead, the firm cut its price target from $109 to $92, citing short-term multiple compression across Agentic AI stocks, and maintained a “Neutral” rating. The contradiction becomes more important because Intel’s re-rating still depends on a foundry turnaround that has yet to prove itself.