Indigenous voice to parliament no campaign leading in every state, poll analysis shows

The yes campaign for the Indigenous voice to parliament is facing an increasingly difficult path to victory, according to modelling by Guardian Australia. Photograph: Mark Baker/AP

Supporters of the Indigenous voice to parliament are facing an increasingly difficult path to victory in the October referendum, with models estimating that the no campaign is leading in every state.

Models also show that the proportion of people telling pollsters they are unsure how they will vote has almost halved this year.