In the 2019 general elections that re-elected the BJP, the saffron party won disproportionate share of seats in closely contested constituencies, according to a research paper by a faculty member at Ashoka University.
The paper says “the density of the incumbent party’s win margin variable exhibits a discontinuous jump at the threshold value of zero”. This implies that the BJP won disproportionately more in constituencies where it was the incumbent party and which were closely contested.
“Moreover, the BJP’s disproportionate win of closely contested constituencies is primarily concentrated in States ruled by the party at the time of election,” it says.