ORLANDO, Fla. — Another possible disturbance emerged Monday on the National Hurricane Center’s radar, leaving meteorologists to turn their attention toward the southwestern Caribbean Sea.
A trough of low pressure is over the Yucatan Peninsula, and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms, the NHC said in its 2 p.m. EDT update.
Development is possible if the disturbance when the system moves Tuesday and Wednesday west-northwestward to northwestward over the far southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The low will struggle through upper-level winds later this week.
The system has a 20% chance of development in the next two to five days. However, residual moisture and remnants from Tropical Storm Julia could become absorbed by the new threat, fueling its development further.
If it does develop, it would receive the name Tropical Storm Karl.
Regardless of development, heavy rain is expected over portions of southern Mexico, Belize and Guatemala during the next couple of days, the NHC said.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Julia retains maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and is 40 miles west of San Salvador. Julia is expected to weaken as the center moves over the coast and rugged terrain of Central America. The storm is forecast to become a tropical depression later Monday and dissipate by Monday night.