
On February 18, 2022, six days before Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, then-United States President Joe Biden said he was “convinced” that Moscow had decided to invade Ukraine. When asked how he knew this, Biden said, “We have a significant intelligence capability.”
At the time, Ukraine’s government under President Volodymyr Zelenskyy was unsure about Biden’s prognosis, insisting that a full-scale invasion was unlikely.