The odds of a recession in 2026 seem to change daily. The Conference Board forecast that higher tariffs will hinder GDP growth into next year. But Fidelity and J.P. Morgan both have stated the likelihood of a recession has fallen dramatically in recent months.
“So far, the signals are not flashing imminent recession,” Fidelity wrote in a Fidelity Viewpoints post. However, the investment firm added in the same article, “Having a financial plan in place that accounts for all possibilities can be reassuring.”
