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Burcu Cevik-Compiegne, Lecturer in Turkish Studies & Adviser for Middle Eastern and Central Asian Studies program, Australian National University

How the 20 year rule of Recep Tayyip Erdogan has transformed Turkey

Protesters at an anti-LGBT+ rally in Istanbul, Turkey, 18 September 2022. Sedat Suna/EPA via AAP

In 2002, Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s Justice and Development Party, Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi (AKP), obtained a parliamentary majority in the Grand National Assembly of Turkey. The seemingly unstoppable rise of political Islam throughout the turbulent 1990s had finally culminated in a much-dreaded loss for a Kemalist political establishment committed to the secular vision of Mustafa Kemal Atatürk, founder of the modern Turkish republic.

Twenty years on, many of the prophesies about Erdogan’s leadership remain unfulfilled. The fears of his opponents were encapsulated in the slogan “Turkey will not become Iran!” Turkey decidedly did not turn into Iran, but it did turn into something that even the most pessimistic observers could not have predicted at the time. Though Turkish democracy has always been illiberal to a certain extent, it has never resembled an autocracy as much as it does today, save for the early republican period.

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