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Barchart
Sarah Holzmann

How ‘Phantom’ Data Center Projects Are Making It Impossible to Forecast AI Power Demand — ‘Grid Operators Don’t Know Which Ones Are Real’

The phenomenon of "phantom" data center projects – those that are announced but never built, or announced far in excess of what physical constraints will actually allow – has emerged as one of the most disruptive forces undermining accurate forecasting of AI-related power demand.

The scale of announced spending is staggering, with hyperscalers alone expected to deploy roughly $800 billion in 2026 and over $1 trillion in 2027.

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