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Paul Whiteley, Professor, Department of Government, University of Essex

How game theory predicts Trump might not do all that he threatens over Ukraine, Taiwan and Nato

Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential elections has left many across the world unsure about what he might do in his next term, and whether some of the threats he made about international policy will be followed through.

There are several dramatic policy changes that the president-elect has threatened to make once he takes office.

For some, one of the most serious foreign policy concerns is the way the Trump administration might go about ending the war in Ukraine. Trump stated he could stop the war in a day. If the end result of any negotiation or peace deal is seen by Vladimir Putin as a victory, other countries on Russia’s borders are worried it could lead to plans for further military aggression.

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