Guardian Essential poll: Daniel Andrews in strong position for Labor victory in Victorian election

Guardian Australia understands Labor’s internal party polling is forecasting an overall swing against the Andrews government of 4% to 5%, but this would not cost them the election. Photograph: Joel Carrett/AAP

Victorian premier, Daniel Andrews, looks set to secure a third term in office, despite waning support for his government and its flagship Suburban Rail Loop project, which the opposition last month vowed to scrap if elected in November.

The latest Guardian Essential poll of 536 Victorian voters found 35.3% intend to give Labor their first-preference vote, a drop of 7.56 percentage points since it won the 2018 state election with a landslide 43%.