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The Guardian - AU
The Guardian - AU
World
Charlotte Graham-McLay in Wellington

Guardian Essential New Zealand poll: Winston Peters in position to become election kingmaker

New Zealand First leader Winston Peters
The latest Guardian Essential New Zealand poll forecasts eight seats for New Zealand First, led by Winston Peters. Photograph: Fiona Goodall/Getty Images

Neither a Labour nor a National coalition could form a government without the support of populist minor party New Zealand First after the October election, according to the latest Guardian Essential political poll – which showed respondents unwilling to give either major party a commanding victory.

Since August, the governing Labour party slumped 2.5 points to 26.9% in the survey, which also recorded unsure voters – 5.3% in September – in its final result. But the results showed apathy towards both of the biggest parties, with centre-right National failing to pick up any speed from August, despite remaining ahead on 34.5%.

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