Looking at Andy Newton’s Greatwood Hurdle trends, ahead on Sunday’s big Cheltenham race, suggest the big favourite Dysart Enos has a few ‘hurdles’ to overcome.
Greatwood Hurdle The Headline Race At Cheltenham On Sunday
We end the three-day Cheltenham November Meeting with another top six-race card on Sunday that is headlined by the Greatwood Hurdle at 3:30pm
The build-up to the race has surrounded the Fergal O’Brien-trained DYSART ENOS – the unbeaten mare, who will be looking to make it 7-from-7 in her career.
Off a mark of 131 in this handicap, there are many suggesting she’s one of the best handicapped horses around at the moment, so it’s no shock that the best horse racing betting sites in the UK has seen a lot of support for her this week.
This is all supported by beating Golden Ace at Aintree in 2023 and with that horse franking the form to win the Ryanair Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival – beating a top Gordon Elliott horse Brighterdaysahead in the process – it’s clear she’s a classy mare.
Greatwood Hurdle Trends Highlight 4 and 5 Year-Olds
However, those against her will lean towards one key 73% Greatwood Hurdle trend that Dysart Enos will need to overcome.
This stat has seen 16 of the last 22 winners aged 4 or 5, and with Dysart Enos aged 6 – she’ll be looking become only the third 6 year-old Greatwood Hurdle winner since 2006.
See here the 4 and 5 year-olds in the race.
- Under Control (5)
- Burdett Road (4)
- Be Aware (5)
- Cracking Rhapsody (5)
- Fiercely Proud (5)
- Jacovec Cavern (5)
- Tintintin (5)
- Royal Way (4)
- Toll Stone (4)
Greatwood Hurdle Trends and Stats 2024
Find the best profiles based on past horse racing winners of the 2024 Greatwood Hurdle at Cheltenham.
- 20/22 – Had won no more than 4 times before over hurdles
- 18/22 – Had won a 2m1f (or further) hurdles race before
- 16/22 – Aged 4 or 5 years-old
- 14/22 – Had a recent run (within the last 6 weeks)
- 15/22 – Priced 11/1 or shorter in the betting
- 14/22 – Finished in the top two last time out
- 14/22 – Raced at Cheltenham before
- 13/22 – Officially rated 140 or higher
- 12/22 – Had run 6 or less times over hurdles
- 10/22 – Favourites placed
- 9/22 – Carried 11-4 or more
- 8/22 – Came from the first three in the betting
- 7/22 – Won their previous race
- 7/22 – Won by an Irish-bred horse
- 4/22 – Winners that carried 11-12
- 3/22 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
- 2/22 – Favourites
- 2/22 – Trained by Dan Skelton (2 of the last 8)
- 2/22 – Won by an Irish-trained horse
- The average winning SP in the last 21 years is 10/1
- 6 of the last 14 winners contested the previous season’s Supreme Novices’ or Triumph Hurdle
Greatwood Hurdle Race Details 2024
📅Date: Saturday 17th November 2024
⌚Time: 3:30pm
🏇Racecourse: Cheltenham
🔄Trip: 2m 1/2f
💷Winning Purse: £56,270
📺 TV: ITV / Racing TV
You can also watch SportsCasting’s Andy Newton on this week’s Final Furlong podcast – previewing the best of the weekend horse racing.
Just TWO Winning Greatwood Hurdle Favourites Since 2002
Another Greatwood Hurdle stat that Dysart Enos will need to kick into touch (providing she stays as the market leader) is that this race has not been the best for favourites in recent years.
Yes, 10 of the last 22 jollies were placed, but we’ve only seen TWO winning favourites since 2002.
These were Accordion Etoile in 2004 and Detroit City in 2006 – meaning there have been 18 renewals with NO winning market leader.
At this stage the best betting sites in the UK still have Dysart Enos at the top of the betting.
Trainer Dan Skelton Has Won The Greatwood Hurdle Twice Since 2016
The Nicky Henderson yard won this last year, and they go again with Under Control – who also run in the same colours (JP McManus) as last year’s winner Iberico Lord.
However, the stable just edging it in recent years is Dan Skelton with two wins since 2016.
Those success came in 2021 with West Cork and 2016 with North Hill Harvey.
Skelton tries to add a third Greatwood Hurdle win with the grey Be Aware, who has only had four career runs (1 win) and looks the sort to have a lot more in the locker to come.
64% Of The Last 22 Winners Finished In The Top 2 Last Time Out
The final of the main Greatwood Hurdle trends to note is their recent run (form).
This is because 14 of the last 22 winners (64%) came here having run 1st or 2nd in their last race.
Horses That Finished In The Top Two Last Time Out
- Burdett Road
- Dysart Enos
- Be Aware
- Florida Dreams
- Napper Tandy
ITV Racing To Show The 2024 Greatwood Hurdle LIVE
The ITV Racing team are also at Cheltenham on Sunday to take in four races – including the Greatwood Hurdle at 3:30pm.
- 1:45 – mallardjewellers.com Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl3 (4yo+) 2m4f ITV
- 2:20 – Three Counties Christmas Handicap Chase (GBB Race) Cl2 (4yo+ 0-150) 2m ITV
- 2:55 – Holland Cooper Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 3m3½f ITV
- 3:30 – Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race) Cl1 (4yo+) 2m½f ITV
Greatwood Hurdle Past Winners (Last 10 Years)
- 2023 – IBERICO LORD (7/1)
- 2022 – I LIKE TO MOVE IT (17/2)
- 2021 – WEST CORK (11/1)
- 2020 – THE SHUNTER (13/2)
- 2019 – HARAMBE (16/1)
- 2018 – NIETZSCHE (20/1)
- 2017 – ELGIN (10/1)
- 2016 – NORTH HILL HARVEY (6/1)
- 2015 – OLD GUARD (12/1)
- 2014 – GARDE LA VICTOIRE (10/1)
WATCH: Iberico Lord Winning The Greatwood Hurdle
You can also get top daily horse racing picks from industry expert Andrew Mount.
