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The Guardian - UK
The Guardian - UK
Comment
Dan Evans

Forget the ‘red wall’: the ‘graduate without a future’ is the voter politicians need to woo

A residential street with a large steel works in the distance.
The Tata Steel Works blast furnaces seen from Dyffryn Road, Port Talbot, Wales, 30 September 2024. Photograph: Dimitris Legakis/Athena/Athena Pictures

Some groups loom larger in the national imagination than others. It has become a shibboleth that economically left, socially conservative ex-Labour voters in the “red wall” are the UK’s political kingmakers and therefore must be wooed. Yet there is little mention of the graduate without a future, a group that first emerged after the 2010 student protests and continues to grow in numbers.

Across the UK there are nearly 5 million graduates working in non-graduate roles. The much-vaunted graduate premium – the idea that graduates earn more than non-graduates over their lifetime – is in drastic decline. New research from the Resolution Foundation shows that new graduate salaries have fallen sharply in real terms over the past two decades, while the minimum wage has risen slightly. With the exception of Stem, law, finance and management, university is no longer a guaranteed ticket to social mobility and a better life.

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