When all politicians agree on something, it is probably a bad idea. A windfall tax on energy companies is currently in populist vogue and is superficially plausible. Thanks partly to reckless sanctions policies against Russia, British energy users have seen their bills rocket by 70% in the past year, with further hikes promised in October when the official price cap on a bill is forecast to rise to £2,600 a year – or even higher. This is the dominant element in pushing UK inflation to 9%. There is no evidence of energy sanctions altering Russian policy or benefiting Ukraine. There is overwhelming evidence they have hurt poorer Britons – and deeply.
Oil and gas companies such as BP, Exxon and Shell have seen their profits soar, Shell’s tripling to £7.3bn. The reason is simply profiting on the back of sanctions. During Covid, many private firms benefited from government loans and grants to stave off collapse. If taxpayers should come to the aid of private companies in hard times, common equity entitles that aid to be recouped if and when times turn good. YouGov even has seven out of 10 Tory voters saying yes to a windfall tax.
